Friday, April 12, 2024

The Rise and Fall of Great Empires

 I am writing my fifth book about the unforgettable figures of history. I had to read a lot about personalities. Apart from them, I also learned indirectly about the past much more than I thought I knew. But I don't want to concentrate on the past, but on the future.Nothing has changed for thousands of years. At least human nature is getting greedier. Everyone who has led a strong country has sought to conquer another. To subdue her is a big deal. There are very few heroes of the past who were tolerant.  I just realized, for these two or three thousand, no one resisted. No matter how strong they were, they always fail in the end. It's just inevitable. As the Roman, Byzantine, Mongolian and subsequent orders have lost their greatness. Now looking at the politics of the big countries. Only words are great. No proper actions. Let's assume that now the USA is strong with its dollar, Russia with its territory, China with its population and production and Europe with its democracy. It is only a matter of time before the US loses its dominance, fueled by its bad policies.. Not immediately, but in the next 100 years neither will it be the most developed economy nor will the dollar succeed with its dominance. Bad management policy. It's one thing to pretend to be the world's policeman, it's another thing to make mistakes by giving weapons to some. Afterwards, give food to others who are shot with your weapons. We live in an age of technology and information reaches almost everyone. America is losing credibility with each passing day. Let's not comment on the dollar, for a few years people even believe in some kind of electronic money where one power outage and you have nothing. But they realize that it is safer than the dollar. Russia is the country with the most land, possibly the most natural resources. A country of good people and bad managers. One thing is for sure, the Russians have rarely come across a normal manager. No matter how much the Soviet Union tries to return its old borders, at most in the age of technology, Russia itself will eventually become smaller in territory. Whatever it costs to open its borders to those who wish and give an opportunity to increase its people than to conquer other territories. China as a supplier to the world is currently tame. But it's a ticking time bomb. While supplying the world and seeing the discontent of others. Because he goes out, feeds a dog to bark at you. but every criticism against it makes it stronger and more innovative. Over time, the danger of becoming very, very strong hides management risks that are unpredictable. Europe is old and has suffered a lot. He knows the consequences. It is between a rock and a hard place. For now, only between the USA, Russia and China. But the time will not be far when Africa will also be a factor. I'm not talking about the next ten or twenty years. But a hundred years pass quickly. But Europe is very divided in its thinking. It pretends to be democratic, but at the same time it is very duplicitous. It inculcates nationalism, and itself is a mixture of many nationalities. This also leads to division by religion. No idea, but some people don't learn from their past and teach others. I don't know a Jew personally, but there is no stopping why they don't like them. In history I learned that not only Hitler had something against them. They have had their problems since Egypt, then during the Inquisition. Whether it's religion or something else, you won't know until you ask your neighbor for some salt.Is it so important to dominate than to help? Apparently, when you sit in the seat of power, the human psyche changes.How the world exists has not changed. I guess there is no hope of normal human coexistence.



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